Post-Conference Schedule
The Cambridge, Massachusetts Conference

Sunday July 19

 

09:45 Sun Other: Plenary: PhD Colloquium - Morning Keynote Address, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom A)

10:15 Sun Other: PhD Colloquium - Plenary One: 10:15 AM to 11:00 AM, chaired by Andrew Ford, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom A)

Tipping Points Warning Signals in Dynamic Systems, by Yasaman Jalili, David Ford  Abstract

11:15 Sun Other: PhD Colloquium - Plenary Two: 11:15 AM to 12:00 PM, chaired by John Richardson, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom A)

Influence of Projects' Size on a Professional Service Firm Performance, by Tomas Hubik  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

13:30 Sun Other: PhD Colloquium - Plenary Three: 1:30 PM to 2:15 PM, chaired by Peter Hovmand, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom A)

Beyond Proximity: Consequentialist Ethics and System Dynamics, by Erika Palmer  Abstract  Paper

14:00 Sun Meeting: Health Policy Special Interest Group Annual Business Meeting, chaired by Michael Dill, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Health Policy Special Interest Group Annual Business Meeting, by Michael Dill, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel  Abstract

14:15 Sun Other: PhD Colloquium - Plenary Four: 2:15 PM to 3:00 PM, chaired by Rogelio Oliva, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom A)

A State Space Analysis of Dominant Feedback Loops in Dynamic Social Systems, by Jeremy Sato  Abstract  Paper

15:00 Sun Other: PhD Colloquium - Closing Keynote, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom A)

15:45 Sun Other: Plenary: PhD Colloquium - Concluding Remarks and Group Photo, chaired by Jill Kuhlberg, Volunteer(s): Mahdi M. NajafAbadi (Ballroom A)

16:00 Sun Other: PhD Colloquium Poster and Networking Session 4:00 PM to 6:00 PM, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin, Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi (Ballroom A)

A System Dynamics Approach to Assess the Abuse of Dominant Position in Refining Sector: The Case of Turkey, by Selahattin Sirin  Abstract  Supporting

Renewable Energy Policy Evaluation Using A System Dynamics Approach: The Case of Oman, by Aisha Al-Sarihi, Marcello Contestabile, Judith Cherni  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Density and Phase Dependence in the Population Dynamics of Child Maltreatment Courts and Out-of-Home Care, by John Halloran  Abstract  Supporting

A System Dynamics Approach to the Assessment of Uncertainties and their Effects on the Development Oil (Tar) sands in Nigeria, by Oluwabunmi Falebita  Abstract  Link from authors

Reducing Suicide in Adolescence into Adulthood: A System Dynamics Perspective, by Saras Chung  Abstract

A system dynamics based learning model to train decision makers on response to flood events, by Romana Berariu, Christian Fikar, Manfred Gronalt, Patrick Hirsch  Abstract  Paper

Business models for the multifunctional utilization of electric vehicles, by Daniel Jandt, Katja Laurischkat  Abstract

The German biomethane market – A policy evaluation approach using System Dynamics, by Thomas Horschig, Nora Szarka  Abstract  Paper

Exploring Inclusive Business and Performance in Egypt, by Dalia Abd-Allah  Abstract

Modeling counterfeit threats in a semiconductor supply chain, by Inez Miyamoto  Abstract  Supporting

New Toll Road Financing Model Using System Dynamics, by Lukas Sihombing  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Analyizing The Governance of Public-Private Partnerships: A System Dynamics Perspective, by Jose Guevara  Abstract

Dynamic Relationship Between Patterns of Drug Use and Social Relationships, by Erin Stringfellow  Abstract

Organizational Ambidexterity: A Feedback Perspective on Change, Routines and Inertia, by Sylvia Schweiger  Abstract

Business System Model of Battery Swapping Management for Transportation Fleet and Energy Storage System, by Vee Kuan Chew  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Nutritious Food Interventions Spread: Insights from Social Movement Theory, by Atefeh Ramezankhani, Jeroen Struben  Abstract

Interactions of factors impacting renewable energy implementation and sustainability in developing nations, by Larry Gottschamer  Abstract  Supporting

SD Analysis of Animal feeding Enterprise and Farmers Biogas Cooperation in Villages : Based on Static Game Behaviors, by Chang Liu, Guoping Tu, Pushpendra Pushpendra  Abstract

Understanding owner-occupiers' decisions to renovate in order to accelerate uptake of energy-efficiency improvements, by Yekatherina Bobrova, Nicole Zimmermann, Michael Davies, Hector Altamirano  Abstract

Conflict Dynamics and Peacemaking: Understanding the Security, Aid and Development Nexus in Africa, by Nancy Hayden  Abstract

System Dynamics Modeling Approach to Eutrophication of Lake Taal, Philippines, by Sonia Javier  Abstract

The Strategic Architecture of ISIS – An Emerging State Actor. , by Timothy Clancy  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

 

Monday July 20

 

 

09:00 Mon Plenary: Monday Morning PLENARY SESSION: Environmental Sustainability, chaired by Karim Chichakly, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami, Philipp Schwarz (President's Ballroom)

A system dynamics framework to promote sustainability in the Lake Tana Basin, Ethiopia social-ecological system, by Krystyna Stave, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Resilience, Social-Ecological Rules, and Environmental Variability in an Artisanal Fishery, by Marshall Duer-Balkind, Kasey Jacobs, Burak Guneralp, Xavier Basurto  Abstract  Supporting

Supply Chains as Catalysts for Sustained Systemic Change: Groundnuts and Aflatoxins in Malawi, by Steve Peterson  Abstract

 

10:30 Monday Poster: Resource Management: Resources and Energy, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Oleg Pavlov, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin, Mohammad Jalali (Paul Revere AB)

 

Exploring the Death Spiral: A system dynamics model of the electricity network in Western Australia, by William Grace  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Insights into the Thermal Generation Futures of Isolated Island Electricity Systems Using System Dynamics, by George Matthew, William Nuttall, Ben Mestel, Laurence Dooley  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Rural Electrification Through Minigrids in Developing Countries: Initial Generation Capacity Effect on Cost-Recovery, by Elias Hartvigsson, Erik Ahlgren, Jimmy Ehnberg, Sverker Molander  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Energy Modeling of Danish Housing Stock Using System Dynamics, by Reza Fazeli, Brynhildur Davidsdottir  Abstract  Paper

Rooftop Solar and the Utilities Death Spiral - a system dynamics analysis, by Conor Meehan  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Renewable Energy Policy Evaluation Using A System Dynamics Approach: The Case of Oman, by Aisha Al-Sarihi, Marcello Contestabile, Judith Cherni  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Demineralised Water Production Planning, by Corne Du Plooy, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay  Abstract  Paper

Hydro Pumped Storage Dynamics, by Mapule Ntsoane, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Danie Booyens  Abstract  Paper

Sustainable energy future: A System Dynamics approach to solving the Electricity shortfall in Ghana, by Benjamin Batinge  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Model evaluation and sensitivity analyses of an acequia community irrigation system dynamics model, by Benjamin Turner, Vincent Tidwell  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

System Dynamics Updates of FAO Methodological Guide to Understand the Food Supply and Distribution Systems (FSDS) , by Vanessa Armendariz, Stefano Armenia, Alberto Atzori  Abstract  Paper

Effects of a Biofuels Economy on Maize Production in Ethiopia, by Patrick Campbell  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

The Maize Value Chain in Zambia: Dynamics and Resilience Towards Production Shocks, by Conrad Steinhilber  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Forest Area and Land Use Change in Pakistan: A System Dynamics Approach, by Naila Nazir, Laura Schmitt Olabisi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A system dynamics approach to understand the implications of a green economy transition in the Western Cape Province, by Josephine Musango, Alan Brent, Smit van Niekerk, Willem Jonker, Aliza Pienaar, Theodore York, Juan Oosthuizen, Lize Duminy, Imke De Kock  Abstract

A Systems Thinking approach to the analysis of economic impacts related to transportation shutdowns: the ATTACS project, by Stefano Armenia, Georgios Tsaples, Camillo Carlini, Vanessa Armendariz, Claudia Volpetti, Riccardo Onori  Abstract  Paper

Nuevo Leon's Public Debt: Analysis using Dynamic systems modeling, by Noé Martinez  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Link from authors

Effect of financial resource allocation on dynamics of national innovation system: The case of Iran, by Alireza Akhavan, Gholamreza Eslamifar  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

 

11:30 Monday Morning PARALLEL SESSIONS 11:30 AM to 12:30 PM

 

Parallel: Detailed Business Applications: Creating Value, chaired by Ross Collins, Volunteer(s): Katrina Hull (Ballroom A)

A System Dynamics Exploration of Agency Theory Interpretations of ERP Acquisition Methods in DOD, by Allen Moulton, Farrah Tazyeen, David Becker, Stuart Madnick  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Modeling the Impact of Alternative-Fuel Vehicles Adoption on Economic Growth through 2040, by Christopher Hughes, Mark Paich, Anand Rao, Aaron Tweadey  Abstract  Supporting

Parallel: Issues in Economics, chaired by Jacob Jacobson, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

A System Dynamics Approach to Simulating the South African Forestry & Logging Sector's Electricity Demand, by Talitha Koegelenberg, Nalini Sooknanan Pillay  Abstract  Paper

Conceptualizing Capital Flight: A Systems Perspective, by Muhammad Azeem Qureshi, Basit Rizwan, Umar Burki  Abstract  Paper

The Feedback Dynamics between Poverty and Education Opportunity: Vicious Circle of Poverty, by Gizem Bacaksizlar, Yaman Barlas  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Environment and Society, chaired by Andrew Ford, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi (Molly Pitcher)

Dynamics of Fisheries, by Mirmojtaba Gharibi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Controlling the Black Bear Population in Maine, by John Voyer, Anya Cornell, Carl Lolar, Joseph Albert  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Toward Effective Water Diplomacy by Using System Dynamics: Case Study, by Mahdi Zarghami, Mohammad Amir Rahmani  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Population Health Methodology, chaired by C. Sherry Immediato, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Birth Cohorts Approach to Modeling Aging Populations, by Jeremy Sato, Nishesh Chalise, Peter Hovmand, Nancy Zoellner, Kenneth Carson, Andrew Brown  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Population Health: Microfoundations for macrosimulation, by Robert Eberlein, James Thompson, John Ansah, Nicholas Perkins, David Matchar  Abstract

Estimating System Dynamics Models Using Indirect Inference, by Niyousha Hosseinichimeh, Hazhir Rahmandad, Mohammad Jalali, Andrea Wittenborn  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Combining Simulation Methodologies, chaired by Mohamed Saleh, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

Model learning using genetic programming under full and partial system information conditions, by Hassan Abdelbari, Sondoss Elsawah, Kamran Shafi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Advanced data analytics for system dynamics models using PySD, by James Houghton, Michael Siegel  Abstract  Paper  Slides  Link from authors

A Hybrid Social Network-System Dynamics Model of Team Learning, by Edward Anderson, Kyle Lewis  Abstract  Supporting

Parallel: Environmental and Social Sustainability, chaired by Man-Hyung Lee, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

U.S. Campaign Finance and Institutional Corruption in Public Policy, by Bruce Skarin, Jamie Melhuish  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Adoption of Alternative Fuel Vehicles in the Netherlands, by Michael Bastiani, Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Agricultural Theory in System Dynamics - A Case Study from Zambia, by Andreas Gerber  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Dynamics of Energy Transitions, chaired by George Matthew, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Simulating the Capacity Expansion of Renewable Energies in the Swiss Electricity Market, by Merla Kubli, Erling Moxnes  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Modelling Wind Turbine Diffusion: A Comparative Study of California and Denmark 1980 - 1995, by Yazgülü Bildik, Cornelia van Daalen, Gönenç Yucel, Roland Ortt, Wil Thissen  Abstract  Paper

Network effects in decentralisation dynamics of regional energy systems, by Merla Kubli, Silvia Ulli-Beer  Abstract  Paper

 

12:30 Mon

 

Meeting: Australasia Chapter Annual Meeting (Un-chaired meeting), Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Australasia Chapter Annual Meeting, by Robert Cavana, Anson Li  Abstract

Meeting: Student Chapter Annual Meeting, chaired by Jill Kuhlberg, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Student Chapter Annual Meeting, by Jill Kuhlberg  Abstract

Meeting: Health Policy Special Interest Group Exploratory Session on the Unintended Consequences of Drug Abuse Policy Part 1/2, chaired by Gary Hirsch, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Heath Policy Special Interest Group Exploratory Session on the Unintended Consequences of Drug Abuse Policy, by Gary Hirsch, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel  Abstract

Meeting: XMILE Roundtable - Open Meeting, chaired by Karim Chichakly, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

 

13:30 Mon

 

Meeting: Editors Meeting, chaired by Rogelio Oliva, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Charles Sumner)

Meeting: XMILE Technical Committee Meeting - Committee Members Only, chaired by Karim Chichakly, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Martin Luther King)

Meeting: Strategy Dynamics Ltd Exhibitor Demonstration and Users' Group Meeting, chaired by Christina Spencer, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

Meeting: Health Policy Special Interest Group Exploratory Session on the Unintended Consequences of Drug Abuse Policy Part 2/2, chaired by Gary Hirsch, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Meeting: Energy SIG Annual Meeting, chaired by George Matthew, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi (Molly Pitcher)

Energy SIG Annual Meeting, by George Matthew  Abstract

 

14:30 Monday Afternoon PARALLEL SESSIONS 2:30 PM to 3:30 PM

 

Parallel: Macroeconomics, chaired by Souleymane Bah, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

The Danger of Float: The Case of Ukraine, by Oleksandr Faryna, David Wheat  Abstract  Supporting

Exchange Rates and Reshoring, by Takayuki Yamashita  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

ASD Macroeconomic Model of Japan on the Flow of Funds and National Accounts - Report on its Early Stage Development, by Kaoru Yamaguchi, Yokei Yamaguchi  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: From Local to Global Sustainability, chaired by Ali Saysel, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi (Molly Pitcher)

Modeling livelihood strategies of local communities in central India, by Alark Saxena, Burak Guneralp, Robert Bailis, Chadwick Dearing Oliver, Gary Yohe  Abstract  Supporting

Exploring Degrowth Pathways Using System Dynamics, by Therese Bennich, Tom Bongers, David Collste  Abstract  Paper

Farm to Fork: Fritter overlooked and its impacts, by Muhammad Azeem Qureshi, John Ansah  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Screening and Survival Analysis, chaired by Patricia Craig, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

A System Dynamics Model of Serum Prostate-Specific Antigen Screening for Prostate Cancer, by Anton Palma, David Lounsbury, Nicolas Schlecht, Ilir Agalliu  Abstract  Paper

Risk Perception, Preferences and Behaviors in Cancer Screening: A System Without Negative Feedback, by Özge Karanfil, John Sterman  Abstract

On the characterization of censored survival curves in system dynamic models, by Radboud Duintjer Tebbens, Kimberly Thompson  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Decisions and Emotions: Their Impact on the System, chaired by Pascal Gambardella, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Unwanted Emotions in Adolescence: Examining the Effectiveness of Emotion Regulation from a Feedback Perspective, by Saras Chung, Peter Hovmand  Abstract

Fear as Contagion: the Ebola Crisis and Public Fear Networks A System Dynamics Approach, by Nasser Sharareh, Nasim Sabounchi  Abstract  Paper

Results of a Beer Game Experiment: Should a Manager Always Behave According to the Book?, by Mert Edali, Hakan Yasarcan  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Model Description and Public Application, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

Global and Local Control of a Resource Utilization Model, by Ingmar Vierhaus, Armin Fugenschuh  Abstract  Paper

SDXchange: Stand-alone Translators to Enable XMILE Model Adaptation, Transportation, and Exchange, by Robert Ward, James Houghton, Ivan Perl  Abstract

A Tool for Enhanced Causal Discovery and Understanding: System Dynamics Modeling – Causal Miner (SDM-CMiner), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Nicholson Collier  Abstract

Parallel: Managing Infrastructure, chaired by Hyunjung Kim, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Modes of Failure of South African Local Government in the Water Services Sector, by Jai Clifford-Holmes, Jill Slinger, Carolyn Palmer, Phumlani Mbulawa  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Understanding the US Highway System: A System Dynamics Perspective, by Jose Guevara, Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Michael Garvin  Abstract  Supporting

Study on Impact Evaluation of Introducing Policies to Realize Urban Consolidation by Using MARS: Case Study of Niigata, Japan, by Hiroki Kikuchi, Sathita Malaitham, Atsushi Fukuda, Guenter Emberger, Paul Pfaffenbichler, Tetsuhiro Ishizaka  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Parallel: Coupled Human & Natural Systems, chaired by Stefano Armenia, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Developing a System Dynamics model to investigate sustainability of traditional acequia communities of New Mexico, by Benjamin Turner, Vincent Tidwell  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Rethinking agriculture of a shrinking world: operationalization of resilience with a System Dynamics perspective, by Hugo Herrera, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract  Paper

System Dynamics and Sustainable Intensification of Food Systems: Complementarities and Challenges, by Birgit Kopainsky, Charles Nicholson  Abstract  Paper

 

15:30 Monday Poster: Environment and Public Policy: Sustainable Production and Consumption Systems, chaired by Johannes Hartwig, Karim Chichakly (Paul Revere AB)

 

Low Carbon Development Strategy for the West African Electricity System: System Dynamic Approach, by Abiodun Momodu, Ahmad Addo, J-F. K. Akinbami, Yacob Mulugetta  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Product Policy Impact in the Lifecycle of Light Bulbs Through System Dynamics, by Luz-Angelica Rodriguez  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Expanded Producer Responsability Model: An Analysis on the Brazilian Case Based on System Dynamics Approach, by Bruno Massote, Jacques Demajorovic, Edmilson Moraes  Abstract  Paper

Strategy Analysis to Control Emissions from Ships at Berth: A System Dynamics Approach, by Srikar Prithvi Chinam, Lewlyn Rodrigues  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

What are the Water Resources Scenarios in future? SD-based Water Resource Carrying Capacity Modeling in China, by Jianxun Chu  Abstract

A study of the use of common resources by means of agent-based simulation, tragedy of commons and social identity models, by Rogerio Morano, Edmilson Moraes  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model of Illegal Farmland Use, Pollution, and Land Value in Central Taiwan, by Tsuey-Ping Lee  Abstract

Conflict Dynamics and Peacemaking: Understanding the Security, Aid and Development Nexus in Africa, by Nancy Hayden  Abstract  Supporting

A System Dynamic Hypothesis for the Disparate Alternative Fuel Vehicle Adoption Paths in Australia and the United States, by Yimeng Jiang, David Keith, Matthew Doolan  Abstract  Paper

Management of Public Procurement of Information System, by Yutaka Takahashi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Proposing a conceptual framework for Iran and U.S. coercive relations, by Amir MohammadShirazi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Sensitivity Analysis of Government Policies Implementation on Mobility of Indonesian Students Abroad, by Tutik Inayati, Takeshi Arai  Abstract  Paper

Green Building Policy and Real Estate Development: A Causal Mapping Study Derived from Qualitative Data, by Erin Hoffer  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Dynamics of Urban Warming: How Human-Environment Interaction Creates Urban Heat Islands?, by Onur Ozgun, Matthias Ruth, Casper Harteveld, Binita KC  Abstract  Paper

Study of reduction measures for abandoned dog population based on a dynamic model of household dogs in Japan, by Hidetsugu Morimoto  Abstract  Supporting

Population Projection for India – A System Dynamics Approach, by Shreenivas Kunte, Om Damani  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

 

16:30 Mon Plenary: Monday Afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Challenges in Public Policy, chaired by John Morecroft, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami, Philipp Schwarz (President's Ballroom)

How to Save a Leaky Ship: Capability Traps and the Failure of Win-Win Investments in Sustainability and Social Responsibility, by John Lyneis, John Sterman  Abstract

Understanding Humanitarian Supply Chain Logistics with System Dynamics Modeling, by John Voyer, Matthew Dean, Christopher Pickles  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Systems Thinking and Simulations in the US Public Policy Community: NASPAA's Student Simulation Competition, by Laurel McFarland, Emily Reineke, Bobby Milstein, Rebecca Niles, Gary Hirsch, Ernest Cawvey, Jack Homer, Anand Desai, David Andersen, Rod MacDonald  Abstract  Paper

 

18:45 Mon Plenary: Monday Evening Plenary Session, sponsored by System Dynamics Program, Social Science and Policy Studies Department, WPI, chaired by Michael Radzicki

6:45 PM to 8:00 PM "State of the Global Economy" Fireside Chat, by David Colander, John Harvey, Barry Armstrong  Abstract

 

Tuesday July 21

 

07:30 Tue Meeting: Education SIG Annual Meeting, chaired by P. Jeffrey Potash, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

Education SIG Annual Meeting, by P. Jeffrey Potash  Abstract

 

08:30 Tuesday Morning PLENARY SESSION, chaired by Karim Chichakly, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami, Philipp Schwarz (President's Ballroom)

8:30 AM to 9:20 AM System Dynamics Society Business Meeting, by Jürgen Strohhecker  Abstract

 

09:30 Tuesday Plenary: Jay Wright Forrester Award Ceremony, chaired by Khalid Saeed, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami, Philipp Schwarz (President's Ballroom)

Announcement and Introduction of Winner, by Khalid Saeed  Abstract

Presentation by the Jay Wright Forrester Award WinnerAbstract  Link from authors

 

10:30 Tuesday Poster: Health and Human Behavior: Individual and Organizational, chaired by David Lounsbury, Nicole Zimmermann (Paul Revere AB)

 

Why Do We Slip in the Bathtub? - Explanation of Stock-Flow Failure Based on Systems with Life, by Tiru Arthanari  Abstract  Paper

Culture Dynamics, by Douglas Franco, Usman Ghani  Abstract

Creatures of habit: Do differences in feedback concepts matter for shaping recycling behavior?, by Bent Erik Bakken, Cecilie Mauritzen, Ingunn Sandaker, John Nilssen  Abstract  Supporting

An Investigation into the Dynamics of Transiting into Alternate States of Consciousness, by Abhijit Mandal, David Lounsbury, Ramesh Pattni  Abstract  Supporting

Transitional Dynamics of the Mind (from the Yoga-sutra), by Abhijit Mandal, Ramesh Pattni, David Lounsbury  Abstract  Supporting

Development Toward School Readiness: A Holistic Model, by Alan Gaynor  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Resilient Capacity on the Front Lines: Coping with Challenges to Patient Flow, by J. Bradley Morrison, Robert Wears  Abstract

Improving Services to Hospital Outpatient Clinics, by Keming Wang  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Safety and Health in Company Management. Towards a System Dynamics tools for training and policy making, by Antonio Leva, Rita Vallerotonda, Daniele De Santis, Mauro Pellicci, Stefano Armenia, Claudia Volpetti  Abstract  Paper

Horizon 2035: The role of SD in developing a vision for the health, social care and public health workforce in England, by Siôn Cave, Tom Lyscom, Graham Willis, Matt Edwards, John Fellows  Abstract  Paper

Local Area Physician Workforce Planning Model Pilot, by Michael Dill, Gary Hirsch, Emily Yunker  Abstract  Paper

The Puerto Rico Emergency Preparedness Model, by Gary Hirsch, Heriberto Centeno  Abstract  Paper

Modelling a collective health behaviour in a social network: The case of dental routine visiting, by Maryam Sadeghipour, Peyman Shariatpanahi, Afshin Jafari, Navid Ghaffarzadegan, Mohammad Hosien Khoshnevisan, Arezoo Ebne Ahmadi  Abstract  Paper

System Thinking Analysis of Adolescent Obesity, by Hanna Lee, EunKyoung Yun  Abstract  Supporting

The Nonlinear Simulation of adolescent Obesity Using System Dynamics, by EunKyoung Yun, Hanna Lee, EunSuk Park, Jaekook Yu  Abstract  Supporting

Understanding the dynamics of Ebola transmission using a simple dynamic model, by Sara Peterson  Abstract  Supporting

A Predictive Model of Prediabetics' Awareness of Diabetes Education and its Effects in the Republic of Korea, by YoungMin Noh, Chang Kim, EunKyoung Yun  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Is Travel Restriction the Answer to Liberia's Ebola Pandemic?, by Eng Seng Chia, Christian Hadi Wijaya, Felix Fernando, Athletea Widjaja, Peter Djasni  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

 

11:30 Tuesday Morning PARALLEL SESSIONS 11:30 AM to 12:30 PM

 

Parallel: Improving the Business of Renewable Energy, chaired by Travis Franck, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Impact of engineering process on construction cost of HVDC offshore wind energy converter station: a system dynamics approach, by Aklilu Tilahun Tadesse  Abstract  Paper

Dynamic Feed in Tariff Price Adjustments for the Rooftop PV Market in Germany, by Amin Al Yaquob, Kaoru Yamaguchi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Disruptive Challenges in Renewable Electricity: threats and opportunities for utilities, by Monica Castaneda, Isaac Dyner  Abstract

Parallel: Sustainable Energy and Climate Change Policies, chaired by Onur Ozgun, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi (Molly Pitcher)

A Model of Energy Policy Impacts on Pollutant Emissions, Costs, and Social Benefits Developed for China's Central Government, by Jeffrey Rissman  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Energy Use and Emissions Impacts from Car Technologies Market Scenarios: A Multi-Country System Dynamics Model, by Jonathan Gomez, Patrick Jochem, Wolf Fichtner  Abstract  Paper

An Adaptive Dynamic Model of Climate Change and Emissions Trading, by Todd BenDor, Jurgen Scheffran, Nikhil Kaza  Abstract

Parallel: Health Systems and Policies, chaired by Enzo Bivona, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Financial Sustainability of Health Systems Dominated by Private Health Insurance, by Nisa Onsel, Yaman Barlas  Abstract

Modeling Ophthalmologists requirements for an aging population, by John Ansah, David Matchar, Steffen Bayer  Abstract

Kidney transplantations in the United States: A System Dynamics approach to reduce the waiting list and illegal trafficking, by Philipp Schwarz, Sebastiaan Fakkert, Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Teaching with System Dynamics, chaired by Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Volunteer(s): Michael Bastiani (Crispus Attucks)

Learning as conceptual change during community based group interventions. A case study with smallholder farmers in Zambia, by Gerid Hager, Birgit Kopainsky, Progress Nyanga  Abstract  Paper

Behind Closed Gates: Potential Dynamics When One Individual or Group Is Given Complete Authority Over Another, by Anne LaVigne, Lees Stuntz  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Developing Understanding of Dynamic Systems Within Early Childhood Settings, by Anne LaVigne, Tracy Benson, Sheri Marlin  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Exploring Model Structure, chaired by Stefan Groesser, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

Does Analytical Thinking Improve Understanding of Accumulation?, by Arash Baghaei Lakeh, Navid Ghaffarzadegan  Abstract

Generic and reusable structure in systems dynamics modelling: roadmap of literature and future research questions, by Sondoss Elsawah, Alan McLucas, Michael Ryan  Abstract  Paper

Unpacking the black box of causality: What is it we assume with every link?, by Christian Hugo Hoffmann, Stefan Groesser  Abstract  Link from authors

Parallel: Social Safety Nets, chaired by Peter Lacey, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Falling off the cliff? Increasing economic security for low income adults as the safety net shrinks, by Julie Maurer, Joshua Hawley  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Public Policy Implementation Modeling: The Classic Case of EDA in Oakland, by David Wheat, Eugene Bardach  Abstract

Repeatable Solutions: the Case of Elderly-Care Provision, by Kim Warren  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Lasting Impacts for Feeding the World, chaired by Alberto Atzori, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

A simulation model for wheat-related policies and food insecurity in Egypt, by Miral Khodeir, Hisham Abdel-Salam  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Representation and Dynamic Implications of Mental Models of Food Systems, by Jacynta Spicer  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Multiscale Integrated Modeling of Ecosystems Services (MIMES): Simulating interactions of coupled human and natural systems, by Roel Boumans, Roman Joe, Irit Altman, Les Kaufman, Marjan van den Belt  Abstract  Paper  Link from authors

 

12:30 Tue

 

Meeting: Asia Pacific Chapters Meeting, chaired by Akira Uchino, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Asia Pacific Chapters Meeting, by Akira Uchino, Robert Cavana  Abstract

Meeting: BeNeLux Chapter Annual Meeting, chaired by Erik Pruyt, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi (Molly Pitcher)

BeNeLux Chapter Annual Meeting, by Erik Pruyt  Abstract

Meeting: German Chapter Informal Gathering, chaired by Florian Kapmeier, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

German Chapter Informal Gathering, by Florian Kapmeier  Abstract  Link from authors

Meeting: SYstem Dynamics Italian Chapter (SYDIC) Annual Meeting, chaired by Stefano Armenia, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

SYstem Dynamics Italian Chapter (SYDIC) Annual Meeting, by Stefano Armenia  Abstract

Meeting: Latin America Chapter Annual Meeting, chaired by Gloria Perez Salazar, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Latin America Chapter Annual Meeting, by Gloria Perez Salazar  Abstract

Meeting: South Africa System Dynamics Chapter Roundtable, chaired by Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Alan Brent, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Martin Luther King)

South Africa System Dynamics Chapter Roundtable, by Nalini Sooknanan Pillay, Alan Brent, Josephine Musango  Abstract

Meeting: UK Chapter Annual Meeting, chaired by John Hayward, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

UK Chapter Annual Meeting, by John Hayward  Abstract

Meeting: Swiss Chapter Annual Meeting, chaired by Birgit Kopainsky, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Swiss Chapter Annual Meeting, by Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract

Meeting: PhD Student Colloquium Planning Meeting, chaired by Jill Kuhlberg, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Charles Sumner)

 

13:30 Tue

 

Meeting: Russian Chapter Roundtable and Annual Meeting, chaired by Oleg Pavlov, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Martin Luther King)

Russian Chapter Roundtable and Annual Meeting, by Oleg Pavlov  Abstract

Meeting: Jay Wright Forrester Award Committee Meeting, chaired by Khalid Saeed, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Charles Sumner)

Meeting: Getting to Know the System Dynamics Society, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Roberta Spencer, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Getting to Know the System Dynamics Society, by Leonard Malczynski, Roberta Spencer  Abstract

Meeting: How do we make the case that SD is relevant in K-12?, chaired by Lees Stuntz, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

How do we make the case that SD is relevant in K-12?, by Lees Stuntz  Abstract

Meeting: System Dynamics Policy Informatics with NASPAA: Next Steps, chaired by Emily Reineke, David Andersen, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

 

14:00 Tue Meeting: International Society for the Systems Sciences Exhibitor Demonstration, chaired by Jennifer Wilby, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Charles Sumner)

 

14:30 Tuesday Afternoon PARALLEL SESSIONS 2:30 PM to 3:30 PM

 

Parallel: Improving Business Practice, chaired by Usman Ghani, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Making the Numbers? "Short termism" and the Puzzle of only occasional disaster, by Hazhir Rahmandad, Nelson Repenning, Rebecca Henderson  Abstract  Supporting

A System Dynamics Approach to Modelling Business Activities of Ukrainian General Insurers, by Anton Lytvyn, Pervin Dadashova  Abstract  Paper

Managing the Driver Recruiting Pipeline in a Transportation Firm, by Zahir Balaporia  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Integrated Management Approaches, chaired by Robert Jeffers, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin (Molly Pitcher)

Disaster Debris Management and Recovery for Housing Stock in San Francisco, CA, by Zahraa Saiyed  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Energy performance and Dynamic Modelling of Existing Building Infrastructure and Services in South African Universities, by Stephen Eromobor, Dillip Das  Abstract  Paper

A Methodological Framework for the Valuation of Non-Marketable Species Based on their Ecological Function in the Agroecosystem, by Silvie Daniels, Nele Witters, Jaco Vangronsveld, Steven Van Passel  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Ebola and Other Infectious Diseases, chaired by Radboud Duintjer Tebbens, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

The Ebola Outbreak in West Africa: Important Lessons about Modeling and Simulating Uncertain Dynamic Issues, by Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper

A Quantitative Assessment of Dynamic Intervention-Capacity Effectiveness in the 2014 Ebola Epidemic, by Willem Auping, Erik Pruyt, Jan Kwakkel, Michel Rademaker  Abstract  Paper

Modeling the Chikungunya Virus: A System Dynamics Approach, by James Enos, Russel Schott, Elizabeth Schott  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Innovative Teaching Initiatives, chaired by John Richardson, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

Learning Economics with Dynamic Modeling. A Norwegian-Ukrainian Collaboration Project., by Iaroslava Stelmashenko, Iryna Lukianenko, David Wheat  Abstract  Paper

Transforming Race 2015: How System Dynamics is Helping to Shape the Response to Ferguson, MO, by Megan Odenthal, Nancy Zoellner, Saras Chung, Jill Kuhlberg, Peter Hovmand  Abstract

From Teaching System Dynamics Towards Total Immersion in Advanced Model-Based Policy Analysis, by Erik Pruyt, Bert Enserink, Wil Thissen  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Model Variety and Confidence, chaired by Birgit Kopainsky, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

Beyond Proximity: Consequentialist Ethics and System Dynamics, by Erika Palmer  Abstract  Paper

Prediction--the Quintessential Policy Model Validation Test, by Wayne Wakeland  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A Generic System Dynamics Model of Firm Internal Processes, by Hamed Khaledi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Humanitarian Agendas, chaired by Robert Eberlein, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

System Dynamics Modeling of impacts of Central African Republic refugees in Eastern Cameroon, by Michel Douglas Piamou Djamengo, Pascaux Smala Fanokoa  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Approaching Resilience for Displaced People in the Congo, by Charles Jones  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Addressing Equity Gaps in Healthy Food Access: A Meso-Level Model of Food Innovation, Distribution and Acceptance, by Derek Chan, Jeroen Struben, Laurette Dube  Abstract

Parallel: Energy & Renewables Diffusion, chaired by Isaac Dyner, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

A System Dynamics model for the Cost Recovery of Residential Smart Meter Roll-Out in the Lemanic Area, by Mohammad Amin Dehdarian, Peter Racz  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Diffusion of solar generation on rooftops: A system dynamics-based approach in Colombia, by Maritza Jimenez, Carlos Franco Cardona, Isaac Dyner  Abstract

Clean and secure power supply: SD-based appraisal of risks, opportunities and challenges, by Sebastián Zapata Ramirez, Isaac Dyner  Abstract

 

15:30 Tuesday Poster: Methodology and Learning, chaired by William Schoenberg, Yaman Barlas, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi, Kay Kim (Paul Revere AB)

 

Identifying uncertainties in the development of Oil Sands in Nigeria: An exploratory SD Model, by Saroj Koul, Oluwabunmi Falebita, Joshua Akarakiri, J-F. K. Akinbami  Abstract  Paper

Using Systems Thinking to Shift Mindsets- A Fortune 500 Company's Multi-year Journey, by Michael Goodman, Chris Soderquist, Kathleen Clark  Abstract  Paper

About the use of delays in electricity market models through a system dynamics approach, by José Morcillo Bastidas, Carlos Franco Cardona, Fabiola Garcia  Abstract

How Bandung Smart City Policy Influences Its Citizens Quality of Life: I. Model Development, by Lidia Mulyadi, Rhorom Priyatikanto, Takeshi Arai  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

A Multi-Method Approach to Advanced Data Analytics: Diabetes Geodynamic Information System, by Mingzhe Tao, Mahdi M. NajafAbadi, William Augustine, Babak Bahaddin, Felippe Cronemberger, Katrina Hull, James Houghton, Smita Sharma, Jack Homer, Eliot Rich  Abstract

Structurally Evolving System Dynamics Models Using Genetic Algorithms, by Michael North, Pamela Sydelko, Ignacio Martinez-Moyano  Abstract  Paper

Time-varying Correlation in System Dynamics: Causal needles in a haystack of correlations, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Jessica Trail  Abstract

Informing Secondary School Decision Making within a competitive market environment, by David Carter, Jonathan Moizer, Shaofeng Liu  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

SYSTEM DYNAMICS A bibliometric analysis of System Dynamics Review, by Rogerio Orefice, Edmilson Moraes  Abstract  Paper

Block Diagrams of Generic System Dynamics Models, by Sema Mehmet, Hakan Yasarcan  Abstract  Paper

Pre-College Student Understanding of Accumulations: An Experiment at a WPI Summer Workshop for Students, by Diana Fisher, Christopher DiCarlo, Alan Ticotsky, Rob Quaden  Abstract  Paper

Developing Question Sets to Assess Systems Thinking Skills, by Kiumars Dorani, Armina Mortazavi, Mohammad Amin Dehdarian, Hesam Mahmoudi, Masoomeh Khandan, Ali Mashayekhi  Abstract  Paper

A Learning Science-based Protocol for Evaluation of a Sustainability-based Learning Environment, by Mahdi M. NajafAbadi, Babak Bahaddin, Reza Behnagh, Michael Deegan, David Andersen, Luis Luna-Reyes, Rod MacDonald, Eliot Rich  Abstract  Paper

Population Dynamics in History: Connecting Past, Present, and Future, by P. Jeffrey Potash, Jennifer Andersen, Lees Stuntz  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Link from authors

The Capability Traps in Explaining the Capability Trap: Lessons from the Field on Conveying Generalizable System Insights, by Peter Hovmand, Laura Guzman-Abello, Camilo Olaya, Wolfgang Munar, Mary Jo Stahlschmidt  Abstract

The Effect of Information Design and Presentation on Decision-Making Strategies and Performance in a Dynamic Environment, by Benjamin Batinge  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Using Systems Mapping to Inform the Strategic Planning Process in Higher Education, by Hyunjung Kim, Michael Rehg  Abstract  Paper

 

16:30 Tue Plenary: Tuesday Afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Health Care, chaired by Yaman Barlas, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami, Philipp Schwarz (President's Ballroom)

Did System Dynamics Find a Cure for HIV? …And is that just the start?, by Kenneth Cooper  Abstract

Improving Clinic Operations with System Dynamics, by Marc Gautier, Dennis McGrath, Deborah Scribner  Abstract

 

17:30 Tue Plenary: Presidential Address, chaired by Jürgen Strohhecker, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami, Philipp Schwarz (President's Ballroom)

Presidential Address, by Jürgen Strohhecker  Abstract

 

18:15 Tue Meeting: Past Presidents' Meeting, chaired by John Sterman, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin (Molly Pitcher)

 

Wednesday July 22

 

08:00 Wed

 

Meeting: Business SIG Annual Meeting, chaired by Frederick Kautz, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin (Molly Pitcher)

Business SIG Annual Meeting, by Frederick Kautz, Raafat Zaini, Seth Cordes, Matthew Bigman  Abstract

Meeting: Psychology SIG Roundtable and Annual Meeting, chaired by Pascal Gambardella, David Lounsbury, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Psychology SIG Roundtable and Annual Meeting, by Pascal Gambardella, David Lounsbury  Abstract  Supporting

Meeting: iSIG Annual Meeting, chaired by Eliot Rich, Stefano Armenia, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

iSIG Annual Meeting, by Eliot Rich, Stefano Armenia  Abstract

Meeting: Model Analysis SIG Annual Meeting (Un-chaired meeting), Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Model Analysis SIG Annual Meeting, by Gönenç Yucel  Abstract

 

09:00 Wed Plenary: Wednesday Morning PLENARY SESSION: Model Validation in Business, chaired by George Richardson (President's Ballroom)

Operator confidence in models: comparing two business examples, by Paul Newton, Rod MacDonald, Suzanne Riney, Frank Rasor, Mary Roux-Zink, Neil Roberts, Richard Bierlein, Eric Garday  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Applications of Calibration Techniques to Dynamic Models, by Mark Paich, Pia Ramchandani, Rachel Rho  Abstract

Helping executives with strategic decisions – building confidence, by Tom Mullen  Abstract

 

10:30 Wednesday Poster: Business and Strategy: Business Applications, chaired by John Voyer, Shayne Gary, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi, Mohammad Jalali (Paul Revere AB)

 

The impact of Australia's carbon tax on an unshielded emissions intensive trade exposed manufacturing industry, by Sue McAvoy  Abstract  Paper

An Inquiry into the Understanding of Risk Characterization of Mega-projects for Project Financing, by Atanu Mukherjee, Purnendu Chatterjee, Arnab Adak  Abstract  Paper

"Two Subsystems of Eleven Elements": System Dynamics and Other Approaches in Modeling Association Football, by Chester Labedz, Robert Schumaker, A. Tomasz Jarmoszko, David Freeman  Abstract  Paper

Business System Model of Battery Swapping Management for Transportation Fleet and Energy Storage System, by Vee Kuan Chew, Nobuaki Minato, Masaru Nakano  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

The Bass Diffusion Model does not explain diffusion, by Kumar Ashish, Ravi Shankar, Kirankumar Momaya  Abstract  Paper

Influence of Projects' Size on a Professional Service Firm Performance, by Tomas Hubik  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

System Dynamics in New Product Forecasting: Collaborative Use of Patient Based Forecast Model for an Oncology Drug, by Eckhard Scheufler, Peter Lacey  Abstract  Paper  Slides

A System Dynamics model to explore Strategy Renewal Process in Family Firms., by Carmine Garzia, Gianluca Colombo  Abstract  Paper

Politeia's collegial, high-technology spherical structure, by Nicholas Georgantzas  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Dynamic Risk Assessment on Innovation Risks in the German Machinery and Plant Engineering Industry, by Ralf Dillerup, Daniela Kappler  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A System Dynamics Model for Integrated Water Infrastructure Asset Management, by Amin Ganjidoost, Carl Haas, Mark Knight, Andre Unger  Abstract  Paper

Growth Engine Strategy Analysis Based on Lean Startup Approach: Case of a Brazilian Startup, by Josué Medeiros, Marcelo Bezerra, Vitor Calife  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Integrated Project Delivery Using System Dynamics, by Eddy Susanto, Lukas Sihombing  Abstract  Paper  Slides

 

11:30 Wednesday Morning PARALLEL SESSIONS 11:30 AM to 12:30 PM

 

Parallel: Exploring People Systems as a Business Resource, chaired by Warren Farr, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Understanding how Human Resource Knowledge Accumulation and Depletion Processes impact on a Service Firm Performance, by Enzo Bivona  Abstract

A system dynamics model of the individual decisions of a salaried employee in saving for retirement, by Johann de Villiers, Josephine Musango, Alan Brent  Abstract  Paper

Organizational Change, Resistance to Change and Participatory Strategies: A Feedback Perspective, by Sylvia Schweiger, Hendrik Stouten, Inge Bleijenbergh  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Dealing with Chronic and Infectious Diseases, chaired by Özge Karanfil, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Simulation Model of Diabetes and Diabetic Nephropathy-induced Dialysis in Japan through 2022: Evaluation of Possible Strategies, by Takehiro Sugiyama, Sayuri Goryoda, Kaori Inoue, Noriko Sugiyama-Ihana, Nobuo Nishi  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

A System Dynamics Model of the Kidney Transplants in the U.S., by Ignacio Paricio, Jorge Figal  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Characterization of the impacts of heterogeneity in high-risk populations for infectious disease transmission: Modeling polio a, by Kimberly Thompson, Radboud Duintjer Tebbens, Kasper Kisjes  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Basic Processes in Learning System Dynamics, chaired by Tiru Arthanari, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

Rethinking intuition of accumulation principles, by Chris Browne, Paul Compston  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

The more you see the less you "get": On the importance of a higher-level perspective for understanding dynamic systems, by Helen Fischer, Florian Kapmeier, Mihaela Tabacaru, Birgit Kopainsky  Abstract  Paper

Bathtub Dynamics revisited: Exploring the engineering domain, by Florian Kapmeier, Meike Tilebein, Roland Maximilian Happach  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: SD Modelling Technique and Attitudes, chaired by David Lounsbury, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

From Modelling Uncertain Surprises to Simulating Black Swans, by Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper

Newton's Laws of System Dynamics, by John Hayward  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Better Robustly Right than Accurately Wrong, by Erik Pruyt, Willem Auping, Jan Kwakkel, Wil Thissen  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Resource Market Dynamics, chaired by Takayuki Yamashita, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Debunking the myth that a legal trade will solve the rhino horn crisis: A system dynamics model for market demand, by Douglas Crookes, James Blignaut  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Building Resilience to Climate-Change-Related Disruptions in the Global LNG Supply Chain, by Bradd Libby, Alexander Christiansen  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

The classical Cobweb Theorem and real commodity market behavior: Modeling delayed adjustment of supply, by Simon Gloeser, Johannes Hartwig  Abstract  Paper  Slides

Parallel: Exploring Learning through Participation, chaired by Gloria Perez Salazar, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin (Molly Pitcher)

Meaning-making in the process of participatory system dynamics research, by Nicole Zimmermann, Laura Black, Clive Shrubsole, Michael Davies  Abstract  Paper

Boundary Objects for Group Model Building to Explore Oral Health Equity, by Susan Kum, Hua Wang, Zhu Jin, Weiai Xu, Janet Mark, Mary Northridge, Carol Kunzel, Stephen Marshall, Sara Metcalf  Abstract  Paper

Theory Development in Group Model Building: Progress and Insights, by Jill Kuhlberg  Abstract

Parallel: Support for the Strategy Process, chaired by Stefan Groesser, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Supporting Strategy using System Dynamics, by Juan Torres, Martin Kunc  Abstract

Creating Value in the Merger and Acquisition Integration Process, by Shanie Atkinson, Shayne Gary  Abstract  Paper

Capturing Managerial Cognition in Chilean Wineries: Hardening a New Method to Elicit and Code Mental Models of Dynamic Systems, by Martin Schaffernicht, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

 

12:30 Wed

 

Meeting: isee systems Exhibitor Demonstration and Users' Group Meeting (Stella and ithink), chaired by Robert Eberlein, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Meeting: Africa Regional Chapter Annual Meeting, chaired by Ddembe Williams, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

Africa Regional Chapter Annual Meeting, by Ddembe Williams  Abstract

Meeting: China Chapter Meeting, chaired by Jianxun Chu, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Martin Luther King)

China Chapter Meeting, by Jianxun Chu  Abstract

Meeting: Strategy Committee Meeting - All Interested Members Are Invited, chaired by Edward Anderson, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Meeting: Publications Committee Meeting, chaired by Pċl Davidsen, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Charles Sumner)

Meeting: AnyLogic North America Exhibitor Demonstration, chaired by Arash Mahdavi, Derek Magilton, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

Meeting: Biomedical Special Interest Group, chaired by Jim Rogers, Volunteer(s): Jose Guevara (Cambridge)

Meeting: Ventana Systems, Inc. Exhibitor Demonstration and Users' Group Meeting (Vensim), chaired by Thomas Fiddaman, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Meeting: Conflict, Defense, and Security SIG Annual Meeting, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Conflict, Defense, and Security SIG Annual Meeting, by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano  Abstract

 

13:00 Wed Meeting: Forio Online Simulations Exhibitor Demonstration and Users' Group Meeting, chaired by Michael Bean, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin (Molly Pitcher)

 

13:30 Wed

 

Meeting: Brazil Chapter Annual Meeting, chaired by Paulo Nakamura, Karim Chichakly, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

Brazil Chapter Annual Meeting, by Paulo Nakamura, Karim Chichakly  Abstract

Meeting: Economics Chapter Annual Meeting, chaired by David Wheat, Oleg Pavlov, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Economics Chapter Annual Meeting, by David Wheat, Oleg Pavlov  Abstract

Meeting: Environmental SIG Annual Meeting, chaired by Robert Jeffers, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Environmental SIG Annual Meeting, by Robert Jeffers  Abstract

Meeting: Powersim Studio Users' Group Meeting, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Meeting: Data Analytics Lightning Talks, chaired by Eliot Rich, Luis Luna-Reyes, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Data Analytics Lightning Talks, by Eliot Rich, Luis Luna-Reyes, Andrada Tomoaia-Cotisel, Chohreh Partovian, Mingzhe Tao, James Houghton, Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Robert Jeffers  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

 

14:30 Wednesday Afternoon PARALLEL SESSIONS 2:30 PM to 3:30 PM

 

Parallel: Better Policy Creates Faster Business Process Improvement, chaired by Yutaka Takahashi, Volunteer(s): Mahdi Zarghami (Ballroom A)

Constructing Local Stories for Global Insight: Detecting Dominant Structure in Forrester's Market Growth Model, by Mohammad Mojtahedzadeh  Abstract  Paper

Why some small and medium enterprises grow and others do not?, by Amr Farouk, Bob Walrave, Georges Romme  Abstract  Paper

The Complexity in Requirements Process Improvement, by Aminah Zawedde, Ddembe Williams  Abstract

Parallel: Learning and Modeling Networks, chaired by Cornelia van Daalen, Volunteer(s): Michael Bastiani (Ballroom D)

Dynamic Modeling of Learning in Emerging Energy Industries: The Example of Advanced Biofuels in the United States, by Laura Vimmerstedt, Steve Peterson, Brian Bush  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Link from authors

Exploring Traffic and Congestion Policies An Entity-Based Micro-Macro System Dynamics Approach, by Hugo Benaich, Erik Pruyt  Abstract  Paper

Information Diffusion through Social Networks: the Case of an Online Petition, by Mohammad Jalali, Armin Ashouri Rad, Oscar Herrera-Restrepo, Hui Zhang  Abstract  Supporting

Parallel: Operations in "Service" Industries, chaired by James Burns, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

The Use of Temporary Workers as a Response to Work Pressure in Service Operations, by Luis Lopez  Abstract  Paper

Impact of Production-Inventory Control on the Dynamics of Epidemics, by Siddhartha Paul, Jayendran Venkateswaran  Abstract  Paper

Four Echelon Retail Supply Chain Optimization-insights from Experimenting with Powel's Hill-climbing algorithm in Vensimİ, by Balaji Janamanchi, James Burns  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Green Growth & Efficient Resource Use, chaired by Josephine Musango, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Exploring Water-Energy Nexus towards Integrated Water and Energy Management, by Yilin Zhuang, Qiong Zhang  Abstract

Improving Process Sustainability and Profitability for a large US Gray Iron foundry, by Prashant Nagapurkar, Joseph Smith, Shyam Paudel  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Inclusive Green Growth and Sustainable Finance Through Ecotax - a System Dynamics Model, by Joachim Block, Bo Hu, Armin Leopold  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Conflict, Defense, and Security, chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Social Network Dynamics of Insider Threats: A Preliminary Model, by Andrew Moore, Kathleen Carley, Matthew Collins, Neal Altman  Abstract  Paper

A Simulation Model of Katouzian's Theory of Arbitrary State and Society, by Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi, Michael Radzicki  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Analyzing the effectiveness of EU Investments in "Managing External Borders": conceptualization of a qualitative model.-, by Stefano Armenia, Claudia Volpetti  Abstract  Paper

Parallel: Organizational Learning Through Stakeholder Engagement, chaired by Laura Black, Volunteer(s): Babak Bahaddin (Molly Pitcher)

Endogenous limits and bottlenecks in the absence of explicit capacity constraints, by Khalid Saeed, Keith Harris, Adam Ruege, Lisa Pape, Midhilesh Mulpuri  Abstract  Paper

A Simulation Game to Promote Systems Thinking and Cross Organizational Collaboration in Government Agencies, by William Ryder  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Using a System Dynamics Model as a Boundary Object in an Integrative Approach to Regional Water Schemes in South Africa, by Rob van Waas, Jill Slinger, Sander van Splunter  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Parallel: Modeling for Identifying Strategy, chaired by Florian Kapmeier, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Do Stretch Goals Increase or Reduce Investments in Disruptive Innovations?, by Miles Yang, Shayne Gary, Tim Coltman  Abstract

Dynamic Balanced Scorecard: Taking stock and looking ahead, by Stefan Katz, Stefan Groesser  Abstract

Modeling Graduate Education Management System Using System Dynamics Approach, by Nikolay Merkulov, Nasim Nezamoddini, Nasim Sabounchi  Abstract  Paper

 

15:30 Wednesday Poster: Economics, Security, and Operations, chaired by Oleg Pavlov, Birgit Kopainsky, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi, Kay Kim (Paul Revere AB)

 

The Paradox of Redistribution: A System Dynamics Translation, by David Collste  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Modeling Dynamics of Expectations on Global Oil Price, by Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei, Babak Barazandeh, Mahdi Boloursaz Mashhadi, Seyed Mohammad Asadzadeh  Abstract  Paper

Living Within the Planetary Capacity: A Dynamic Feedback Approach, by Ali Saysel  Abstract  Paper

Simulating the Neodymium Supply Chain Using Explicit Dynamic Supply and Demand, by Robert Jeffers, Kara Cafferty, Braeton Smith, Maxwell Brown  Abstract

An Enhancement for the Textbook's Models of Natural Resources and Economic Growth, by Alexander Ryzhenkov  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Quantifying Supply Risk at a Cellulosic Biorefinery, by Jason Hansen, Jacob Jacobson, Mohammad Roni  Abstract  Paper

The Internet as source of herding behavior: Exploring consequences in financial markets, by M. Dolores Soto-Torres, Ramon Fernandez-Lechon, Pedro Fernandez Soto  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Fighting Foreign Fighters. But What About Potential and Returning Foreign Fighters?, by Erik Pruyt, Stefano Armenia, Riccardo Onori, Arije Antinori, Georgios Tsaples  Abstract  Paper

Modeling the Threat of ISIS in the Context of Modern Terrorism, by Cecelia Shao  Abstract  Supporting

Using System Dynamics to Train Army Leaders, by Stephen Sapol, Bruce Keith  Abstract  Supporting

Human Futures: Investigating Resilient Policy in Egypt's Agricultural Sector, by Munaf Aamir  Abstract

A System Dynamics Model for Business Process Change Projects, by Zuzana Rosenberg, Tobias Riasanow, Helmut Krcmar  Abstract  Paper

Understanding the Boom and Bust Cycles of Ostrich Production in South Africa using System Dynamics, by Lize Duminy  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Measuring Eigenvalues' Sensitivities via Kernel Canonical Correlation Analysis, by Ahmed Yehia, Mohamed Saleh, Ayman Taha, Hisham El-Shishiny  Abstract  Paper

System Dynamics for a mathematical modeling approach in Software Engineering and Information Systems, by Ricardo Vicente Jaime Vivas  Abstract  Paper

The Seen and Unseen: Emergent Control and Project Progress in IS Integration Efforts, by Luis Luna-Reyes, David Andersen, Laura Black, Theresa Pardo  Abstract

Information Technology: System Dynamics Modeling of an IT Major Incident Resolution Process, by John Voyer, Andrea Cahill, Kathryn Laustsen, Benjamin Philbrick  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Building Information Technology Capabilities: a Case Study of the Development of an Integrated Management System, by Josué Medeiros, Manoel Neto, Edmilson Moraes, Miguel E Moreno Anez  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

 

16:30 Wed Plenary: Wednesday Afternoon PLENARY SESSION: Feedback Structure and Performance Dynamics in Strategy, chaired by Peter Milling (President's Ballroom)

Asset Stock Coordination and Long-Term Dynamics in Love and Commerce, by John Morecroft  Abstract  Paper

Capability Erosion Dynamics, by Hazhir Rahmandad, Nelson Repenning  Abstract

Boom and Bust Dynamics of Management Tool Implementation, by Stefan Groesser, Markus Schwenke  Abstract  Paper  Link from authors

 

18:15 Wed

 

Meeting: Nominating Committee Meeting, chaired by Edward Anderson, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Charles Sumner)

Meeting: Society Program Oversight Committee, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (William Garrison)

Society Program Oversight Committee (SPOC) Meeting, by Leonard Malczynski  Abstract

 

19:00 Wed Plenary: Wednesday 19:00 PM Plenary Session, chaired by Timothy Havel (Ballroom A)

Pre-release Screening of the Movie "Boom Bust Boom" Abstract

 

Thursday WORKSHOPS July 23

 

08:30

Workshop: Creating Interactive Simulations on the Web with Forio Epicenter, chaired by Michael Bean, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Creating Interactive Simulations on the Web with Forio Epicenter, by Michael Bean  Abstract

Workshop: Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling for Math and Science Instruction: Online Professional Development Opportunity, chaired by Diana Fisher, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Aquarium)

Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling for Math and Science Instruction: Online Professional Development Opportunity, by Diana Fisher  Abstract

Workshop: Introduction to Vensim, chaired by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Introduction to Vensim, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager  Abstract  Link from authors

Workshop: Getting Started with Stella Professional, chaired by Robert Eberlein, William Schoenberg, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

Getting Started with Stella Professional, by Robert Eberlein, William Schoenberg  Abstract

Workshop: Developing a Multi-Method Modeling Approach to Advanced Data Analytics for Health Care Part 1/2, chaired by Luis Luna-Reyes, Eliot Rich, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Paul Revere AB)

Developing a Multi-Method Modeling Approach to Advanced Data Analytics in SD, by Luis Luna-Reyes, Eliot Rich  Abstract

Workshop: Tips and Techniques for Harnessing the Power of Stock and Flow Thinking: Lessons learned from our work Part 1/2, chaired by Rachel Ferencik, Chris Soderquist, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi (Molly Pitcher)

Tips and Techniques for Harnessing the Power of Stock and Flow Thinking: Lessons learned from our work with policymakers, by Rachel Ferencik, Chris Soderquist  Abstract

Workshop: World Climate and C-ROADS Training Part 1/4, chaired by John Sterman, Andrew Jones, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

World Climate and C-ROADS Training, by John Sterman, Andrew Jones, Florian Kapmeier  Abstract  Link from authors

Workshop: Using a Customer Pipeline Model: a hands-on simulation exercise and including feedback from students in a university course, chaired by Jeff Trailer, Volunteer(s): Katrina Hull (Cambridge)

Using a Customer Pipeline Model: a hands-on simulation exercise and including feedback from students in a university course, by Jeff Trailer  Abstract  Supporting

 

10:30

Workshop: Hands-On Modeling United States Energy Policy: Achieving Emissions Targets and Exploring Scenarios, chaired by Jeffrey Rissman (Thomas Paine AB)

Hands-On Modeling United States Energy Policy: Achieving Emissions Targets and Exploring Scenarios, by Jeffrey Rissman  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Workshop: Teaching Students to Create Original Models in a Ten-Week Course, chaired by Diana Fisher, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Aquarium)

Teaching Students to Create Original Models in a Ten-Week Course, by Diana Fisher  Abstract

Workshop: Vensim Calibration and Markov Chain Monte Carlo, chaired by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Vensim Calibration and Markov Chain Monte Carlo, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager  Abstract  Link from authors

Workshop: Getting Started with the New (2015) Sysdea Online Software, chaired by Kim Warren, Volunteer(s): Oleksandr Ivanov (Haym Solomon)

Getting started with the new (2015) Sysdea online software, by Kim Warren  Abstract

Workshop: Using Modules and Arrays with Stella Professional, chaired by Robert Eberlein, William Schoenberg, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

Using modules and arrays with Stella Professional, by Robert Eberlein, William Schoenberg  Abstract

Workshop: Developing a Multi-Method Modeling Approach to Advanced Data Analytics for Health Care Part 2/2, chaired by Luis Luna-Reyes, Eliot Rich, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Paul Revere AB)

Workshop: Tips and Techniques for Harnessing the Power of Stock and Flow Thinking: Lessons learned from our work Part 2/2, chaired by Rachel Ferencik, Karen Minyard, Volunteer(s): Saeed Pourmasoumi Langarudi (Molly Pitcher)

Workshop: World Climate and C-ROADS Training Part 2/4, chaired by John Sterman, Andrew Jones, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Ballroom D)

Workshop: Long-Term Dynamics and Enduring Feedback Structure in Love and Supply Chains, chaired by John Morecroft, Volunteer(s): Katrina Hull (Cambridge)

Long-Term Dynamics and Enduring Feedback Structure in Love and Supply Chains, by John Morecroft  Abstract

 

13:00

Workshop: Modeling Psychological and Sociological Dynamics Part 1/2, chaired by Pascal Gambardella, David Lounsbury, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Modeling Psychological and Sociological Dynamics, by Pascal Gambardella, David Lounsbury  Abstract  Paper  Supporting  Slides

Workshop: Getting Started with Powersim Studio, chaired by Leonard Malczynski, Volunteer(s): Sebastiaan Fakkert (Aquarium)

Getting Started with Powersim Studio, by Leonard Malczynski  Abstract  Supporting  Link from authors

Workshop: Entity-based System Dynamics with Ventity I, chaired by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Entity-based System Dynamics with Ventity I, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager  Abstract  Link from authors

Workshop: Agile SD - Fast, Reliable, Effective Part 1/2, chaired by Kim Warren, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Paul Revere AB)

Agile SD - fast, reliable, effective, by Kim Warren  Abstract  Paper  Supporting

Workshop: System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), chaired by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano, Volunteer(s): Philipp Schwarz (Crispus Attucks)

System Dynamics Model Documentation and Assessment Tool (SDM-Doc), by Ignacio Martinez-Moyano  Abstract  Link from authors

Workshop: World Climate and C-ROADS Training Part 3/4, chaired by John Sterman, Andrew Jones, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (Ballroom D)

Workshop: Scriptapedia: Introduction to "Scripted" Group Model Building Workshops, chaired by Peter Hovmand, Etiënne Rouwette, Volunteer(s): Katrina Hull (Cambridge)

Scriptapedia: Introduction to "Scripted" Group Model Building Workshops, by Peter Hovmand, Etiënne Rouwette  Abstract

 

15:00 Thu

Workshop: Modeling Psychological and Sociological Dynamics Part 2/2, chaired by Pascal Gambardella, David Lounsbury, Volunteer(s): James Hacunda (Thomas Paine AB)

Workshop: Entity-based System Dynamics with Ventity II, chaired by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (William Dawes AB)

Entity-based System Dynamics with Ventity II, by Thomas Fiddaman, Larry Yeager  Abstract  Link from authors

Workshop: Agile SD - fast, reliable, effective Part 2/2, chaired by Kim Warren, Volunteer(s): Rob van Waas (Paul Revere AB)

Workshop: World Climate and C-ROADS Training Part 4/4, chaired by John Sterman, Andrew Jones, Volunteer(s): Adiba Muminova (Ballroom D)

 

System Dynamics Society
Tentative schedule updated: August 19, 2015.